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NZ Dairy Giant Stumbles: Dairy Prices Fall

09 January 2009

NEW ZEALAND - The January trading event for Fonterra’s internet-based sales platform, globalDairyTrade, concluded at 3.39 am this morning (NZT), with the results reflecting continued softening in international dairy prices.

The trading manager, CRA International, advised Fonterra that the average price achieved across all products and contract periods for Whole Milk Powder (WMP) was US$2,017 per tonne FAS New Zealand Port. This was 9.3 per cent lower than for the previous trading event in December. Prices ranged from US$1,920 per tonne FAS to US$2,140 per tonne FAS.

Spot prices rose 1.3 per cent above those for the December trading event.


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"Dairy prices have fallen as a result of a cyclical lag between supply and demand responses"
Kelvin Wickham, Fonterra’s Managing Director of GlobalTrade

“This result reflects current trading conditions,” said Kelvin Wickham, Fonterra’s Managing Director of GlobalTrade. “Dairy prices have fallen as a result of a cyclical lag between supply and demand responses, though this has been accelerated by the demand downturn resulting from the global financial crisis and recession.

“Still, the spot price increase is encouraging and we hope this is a sign of things to come. Our own supply and demand analysis indicates that we are near the bottom of the price cycle. While global inventories still need to be worked through, the current price levels represent excellent buying.”

Since July, WMP prices are down 54 per cent, within the range of decline for other dairy commodities. During the same period, globally-traded cheese, butter, casein prices have all fallen by between 45 per cent and 55 per cent.

The current volatility in the international dairy market is highlighted by a 37 per cent drop in the spot price for US barrel cheese on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange since the previous globalDairyTrade event one month ago.

The prices of other agricultural commodities have fallen by similar amounts. Since their June-July 2008 peaks, the prices of barley, maize, soybean meal and wheat have fallen between 35 per cent and 55 per cent. The globalDairyTrade price used is the contract one, or spot, price.

The next globalDairyTrade trading event will be held on 3 February 2009. See www.globaldairytrade.info for more details.

TheCattleSite News Desk



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