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TheBeefSite Newsletter - 16 May 2012

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Wednesday 16th May 2012
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Welcome to this week's newsletter

Editorial: Global Beef Overview

Supply and Demand

It is expected that increasing global supply, mostly led by Brazil, will push prices down in cattle and beef markets over the next few months. Prices will recover to their previous highs later on in the year, as short supply continues to put pressure on the markets.

It appears that these sky-high beef prices are taking their toll on consumption, with the beef industry lacking the growth that other meat sectors have seen in recent decades.

Pigmeat overtook beef as the world’s most commonly consumed meat in 1978 and chicken claimed second position in 2000. Beef demand has been sluggish while ‘white’ meat consumption has surged, says the Australian Commonwealth Bank.

Production

Global beef production is forecast to stagnate at around 67.5 million tonnes in 2012, as progress in developing countries is offset by contraction of output in developed countries.

The USDA is forecasting 2012 beef production will be 3.8 per cent lower than last year and predict 2013 beef production will be 2.5 per cent lower than this year.

On the other hand, Brazil and Australia are expected to see an increase in cattle production after years of herd rebuilding.

Trade

Following on from a record 2011, US exports slipped in the first three months of 2012, down 11.8 per cent compared to last year.

Developing countries are expected to supply more than half of the global market in 2012, signalling a historic reversal in the pattern of bovine meat trade, with a chance for Brazil to reclaim its position as the world’s largest beef exporter due to the gradual re-authorisation of plants to export to the Russian Federation.

India is another country to keep an eye on, as an expanding dairy industry offers opportunities for increasing beef exports, with the USDA reporting earlier in the year that it may overtake the US as the world's largest beef exporter.

Charlotte Johnston

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* This Week's Feature Articles

We have 5 new features this week:

Alternatives to Antibiotics in Animal Health
The history of antibiotic use in animal production and alternative strategies that work are reviewed by Sandra Avant of the USDA Agricultural Research Service (ARS) in the latest issue of Agricultural Research.
Rabobank Beef Quarterly - Downward Price Risks
There are downside price risks in cattle/ beef markets during the second quarter (Q2) of 2012, as Rabobank expects a slightly larger global supply, led by Brazil and other countries in the Southern Hemisphere, amidst a global economy which remains relatively weak.
More to Successful Breeding than Bulls
With spring calves hitting the ground around the state, Kentucky cattle producers should begin to plan now for the breeding season to follow. Most young, healthy cows come back into heat within a few weeks after calving.
Prevalence and Characterisation of Clostridium difficile from Feedlot Beef Cattle
C. difficile was found by researchers in the intestinal tracts of a small percentage of feedlot cattle in Alberta, Canada, at the start of feeding and throughout the period studied. Ribotype 078/NAP7 was the dominant strain in these animals, the same one that has been linked to a rising incidence of community–associated cases of C. difficile infection.
Food Outlook: Record Meat Prices Constrain Consumption Growth
Global meat markets in 2012 are expected to see a recovery of supplies in traditionally importing countries and strong competition for markets, according to the latest Food Outlook report from FAO. Near record prices are constraining consumption growth.
* Market Reports

 » GB Animal Feed Statistical Notice
 » World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates - May 2012
 » AHDB European Market Survey - 11 May 2012
 » AHDB UK Market Survey - 11 May 2012
 » USDA Feed Outlook - May 2012

* Company News

Veterinarians Demand Faster Diagnostics
FRANCE - Speed and accuracy are the key features that veterinarians and farmers want from diagnostic tests, a new Europe wide survey has revealed.
* Global Beef Cattle Industry News

   Denmark

 » Satisfactory Interim Results from Danish Crown

   Oman

 » Oman Lifts Restrictions on Cattle Import from Canada

Animax Veterinary Health
   Australia

 » GLOBAL GAP Approves JBS EU Approved Feedlots
 » Unique Trial Watches Cattle Weights
 » Weekly Australian Cattle Summary
 » Restocker Demand Sustains Price Increase
 » Average Cattle Weights Reach New High
 » Research Cluster to Address Livestock Emissions
 » Beef Australia Finishes on a High

   United Kingdom

 » Mixed Reactions to Go Ahead for Grocery Adjudicator
 » Action on GHGs Builds Momentum
 » Examining the Future of UK Red Meat, Dairy Sectors
 » No Let Up in Battle Against Calf Rearing Losses
 » NFU Heralds Landmark Adjudicator Bill
 » Loss of Production from Age at First Calving
 » Urgent Need for Strategy on Sustainable Food
 » UK Schmallenberg Update
 » Straight-Talking Seminars Set for Beef Expo 2012

Genus - Value through science and genomics
   Global

 » Winners Emerging from the Global Economic Crisis
 » Alternative Strategies for Keeping Animals Healthy
 » South America Works to Eradicate FMD
 » Beef Industry Lacks Growth of Competitors
 » EU Cow Prices Up; Japan Pork Imports Rise

   Argentina

 » JBS Sells San José Plant in Argentina

   Greece

 » OIE: Bluetongue Reported in Greece

   Germany

 » OIE: More Schmallenberg Outbreaks Confirmed

Pfizer Animal Health
   France

 » OIE: Brucellosis Outbreaks Reported in France

   New Zealand

 » Driving NZ Grass-Fed Beef Brand in Taiwan

   Brazil

 » Brazil Leads South American Meeting on FMD

   United States

 » CME: Global Meat Demand and US Export Outlook
 » Beef Results Mixed in First Quarter of 2012
 » NFU Encourages Judicious Use of Antibiotics
 » Soybean Crop Increases; Supply to Dip
 » Checkoff Celebrates 25 Years of Quality Assurance
 » CME: Farmers to Harvest Record Corn Crop
 » Cattle Outlook: Overall Beef Exports Down
 » Forage Supplies Tight, Crops Depend on Water Supply
 » Agriculture Embraces Call for Transparency
 » CME: Pullback in US Beef Exports
 » Is Ethanol Production Linked to Antibiotic Resistance?
 » 'Pink slime' Label Echoes 'Swine flu' Misnomer
 » Corn Market Direction Unfolding, but Uncertain
 » In the Cattle Markets: Cow Prices at Record Levels
 » Soils Self Repair to Minimise Grazing Compaction
 » CME: Sharp Decline in Cattle Numbers Expected

   Japan

 » Beef Consumption in Japan up Nine Per Cent

   Korea, South

 » S. Korea Keeps Tight Checks on US Beef
 » Korean Govt Confirms US Beef Safety

   Colombia

 » Colombia to Start Exporting Meat to China

   China

 » Slight Drop in Chinese Farm Produce Prices
 » How has China Influenced Global Meat Trends?

   Ireland

 » New Beef Advisory Programme to Improve Business

   Russian Federation

 » Russia Could Ban Brazilian Meat

   Saudi Arabia

 » Saudi Bans US Beef Exports

   European Union

 » Cutting Animal Transport Time Just the Start
 » Avoid Misuse of Religious Exemptions to Stunning

   Canada

 » COOL: Potential Trade Barrier of Choice



That's all for this week!

Ed.
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