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Hog Futures: Lean Hogs Closed Down on Thursday

25 April 2014
Jim Wyckoff Commentary -  TheCropSite

US - June lean hogs closed down $0.70 at $125.55 Thursday.

Prices hit a fresh three-week high and then backed off on profit taking. The bulls still have the near-term technical advantage. Look for more volatility in this market in the near term. The next upside price breakout objective for the hog bulls is to push and close prices above solid chart resistance at $129.00. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is pushing prices below solid technical support at this week’s low of $121.50. First resistance is seen at $126.00 and then at $127.00. First support is seen at $125.00 and then at $124.50. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 6.0

June live cattle closed up $0.75 at $135.85 Wednesday. Prices closed near the session high on more short covering. A three-week-old downtrend on the daily bar chart was negated today. Bulls and bears are on a level near-term technical playing field. Bulls’ next upside price “breakout” objective is to push and close prices above solid resistance at $136.30. The next downside technical breakout objective for the bears is pushing and closing prices below solid technical support at this week’s low of $133.95. First resistance is seen at this week’s high of $136.05 and then at $136.30. First support is seen at $135.40 and then at $135.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 5.0

August feeder cattle closed up $1.60 at $184.05 Thursday. Prices closed near the session high and hit another fresh contract high. Bulls have the solid overall near-term technical advantage. The next upside price breakout objective for the feeder bulls is to push and close prices above solid technical resistance at $185.00. The next downside price breakout objective for the bears is to push and close prices below solid technical support at this week’s low of $180.95. First resistance is seen at today’s contract high of $184.07 and then at $185.50. First support is seen at $183.50 and then at today’s low of $183.00. Wyckoff's Market Rating: 8.5

 

TheCattleSite News Desk

IMPORTANT NOTE: I am not a futures broker and do not manage any trading accounts other than my own personal account. It is my goal to point out to you potential trading opportunities. However, it is up to you to: (1) decide when and if you want to initiate any traders and (2) determine the size of any trades you may initiate. Any trades I discuss are hypothetical in nature.

Here is what the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has said about futures trading (and I agree 100%): 1. Trading commodity futures and options is not for everyone. IT IS A VOLATILE, COMPLEX AND RISKY BUSINESS. Before you invest any money in futures or options contracts, you should consider your financial experience, goals and financial resources, and know how much you can afford to lose above and beyond your initial payment to a broker. You should understand commodity futures and options contracts and your obligations in entering into those contracts. You should understand your exposure to risk and other aspects of trading by thoroughly reviewing the risk disclosure documents your broker is required to give you.



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